Any Bets?

[tungstennedge]

So, I'm bored in AG and want to see something burn, that being my own airline.

I've ordered one of each aircraft type still in production, and am going to scour the UM for missing types in the next three in-game months for types im missing, and am going to put them all into service at the same time.

I'm currently making 1.3billion @30% pretax margin per week, anyone want to make a bet ay my losses/ margin after I but all aircraft types into service?

I have no idea, but my bet is about -2 bil a week, but tis just a complete guess.

Cheers,

- Tungstennedge

[schro]

How many planes in service right now?

[tungstennedge]

1800

[Amelie090904]

How many fleet groups do you intend to get? I'd say expect -30% margin.

[tungstennedge]

All of them. Id estimate there are about 50 fleet groups available.

[knobbygb]

Dunno... I can imagine that Sami hasn't programmed some kind of linear penalty for fleet types above 7 or 8. So I'll go out on a limb and say...  IF you schedule the aircraft sensibly and don't send them to stupid places and fill the schedule properly - all the usual stuff, then you might just stay in profit!  Maintenance will hurt for those over 25 years old but not that much for single examples with your large margin. $1.3bn per week is a LOT to get through...

I like your idea, I might actually do it in the speed world when I get bored (and very profitable of course).

[schro]

Here is a reference at about 1800 planes - https://www.airwaysim.com/forum/index.php/topic,79048.0.html

Basically, your costs for going from 3 type to 4 types will be ~4b/month, so you'll still be slightly profitable at that point....

[gazzz0x2z]

What I haven't been able to measure is whether there is a "shock" effect . It seems to me that the 4th fleet penalty is stronger if you break the 3 fleet rule later.players with 4 fleet groups since forever seem to be less penalized (Most of them end up bad anyways, especialyl as they grow). But it may be just an impression.

[tungstennedge]

This speed world I have 6 groups already at under 100 aircraft. Could even go 7 just to test out gradual expansion with many fleet types.


And yeah, there does appear to be a shock effect, or maybe reduced effect after long term operations with 4+ fleets. There is a player, T-pair or puma who plays an otherwise optimal game except he goes 4+ fleets every time, and while I've not seen him get 1000+ aircraft yet his margins were as good as ever around 800 AC when I faced him in DOTM.

[tungstennedge]

Fourth fleet now added, 18% margin drop and 800 million/w profit decrease. Larger effect than I thought, though from my understanding the drop mellows out soon.

https://imgur.com/a/LogBApV