AirwaySim

General forums => General forum => Topic started by: 96740 on July 23, 2017, 11:01:33 PM

Title: Estimation accuracy
Post by: 96740 on July 23, 2017, 11:01:33 PM
Is there a way to improve the "Estimation accuracy" in Route Planning?
Title: Re: Estimation accuracy
Post by: forex on July 24, 2017, 02:04:24 PM
I'd say the only way to do that, is to keep the route strategies department happy. "Route strategies personnel helps you in viewing the estimated passenger demands on a route."

The higher the morale the higher the accuracy should be.
Title: Re: Estimation accuracy
Post by: Amelie090904 on July 24, 2017, 02:20:00 PM
Is it just me or can I just refresh the page a couple of times and then get different estimations where I can calculate a rough average in my mind?
Title: Re: Estimation accuracy
Post by: Cardinal on July 24, 2017, 06:39:02 PM
Quote from: Andre090904 on July 24, 2017, 02:20:00 PM
Is it just me or can I just refresh the page a couple of times and then get different estimations where I can calculate a rough average in my mind?

^That.

There is a number, an actual number, that rises over time (and sometimes falls, but mostly rises) that the UI will never, ever show you. Instead it shows you a number that it randomly picked within a certain % range of the real number, based on the accuracy of your route strategy department and (probably) the phases of the Moon, the Nikkei stock index, and the current temperature in Boise.

From that number, it then calculates the demand for individual days of the week. Those, it seems, are fixed % as when you get a certain number for Friday, you will always get a certain other number for Saturday.
Title: Re: Estimation accuracy
Post by: tdf42 on July 27, 2017, 08:24:20 AM
My route strategy dept always has a 100 morale number and yet the varied estimates persist.  I have played for 3 years and have never really seen an answer.
Title: Re: Estimation accuracy
Post by: Flyguy85 on July 27, 2017, 10:36:01 AM
It is always an estimate and it is never 100% accurate, as also in real life.
Title: Re: Estimation accuracy
Post by: Bricker on July 31, 2017, 07:53:37 AM
Quote from: Andre090904 on July 24, 2017, 02:20:00 PM
Is it just me or can I just refresh the page a couple of times and then get different estimations where I can calculate a rough average in my mind?

I noticed that too and it made me question the accuracy.
Title: Re: Estimation accuracy
Post by: knobbygb on August 25, 2017, 08:56:44 AM
I can see why it has to be like this - because it's also only an estimation in real life. But, doesn't it just generate extra load on the servers?  I, like Andre090904 and many others simply refresh 4 or 5 times to get a better idea. A waste of clicks and bandwidth.