The profit margin reported does not take into account the opportunity cost of money sunk into the order for years.
Really? And do you know a better way to use my money than to invest it? Otherwise it would just sleep and get proportionally depreciated over time.
You are describing a unique situation of placing the order near launch, before the Dynamic Pricing fully kicks in.
Right and wrong. Right on the principle (before dynamic pricing), but wrong on the occurrence: this is one of the most common investment situation.
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But yours is a completely different, unrelated point. The point is, there is no telling where the Recommended price will end up. See my post above.
For example
- UM full of aircraft selling at discount should be pushing down the pricing of new aircraft.
- production line sold out for several years should be pushing up the Used "Recommended" price
"The point is, there is no telling where the Recommended price will end up": this is the problem. Recommended is one thing, alliance max / absolute max another one tied to the former.
If recommended goes higher because of demand, absolute max will go higher and UM prices for wanted models will just get crazy and only a handful of players will be able to afford such planes (if it was not already the case). So, as I said earlier, only the real Big Boys will be able to afford the most wanted birds from the UM, even more than today. Big Boys will be even more competitive and smaller players will end up using old planes for decades / forever.
Example: absolute max for a 733 in current GW#2 is around 52M. Demand is crazily high and as per your system, recommended should get from 38.5M to "more", and absolute max from 52 to... to what? Where does it stops? How much are you willing to pay for a 733? 70M? 100M?
-> not telling the intention is not good, but if the current proposal has some nice aspects (for unwanted birds), it also has a serious flaw (for most wanted aircrafts).