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Author Topic: A320 Release Date  (Read 461 times)

splotch

  • Former member
A320 Release Date
« on: December 07, 2013, 02:24:05 PM »
Might anybody be so kind as to give me an approximate A320 launch date? I'll need to stop expanding with used planes to build up a little capital to get an early order in against the much larger airlines.

Also, to what degree are launch dates random? Are they normally distributed, centered on the real-life launch date? Standard deviations?

As a separate question, is the A320 really that superior to the DC-9? There's practically no wait-list on the 9's and they look OK, and are reasonably cheap. Should I just go with those and avoid the Airbus lines altogether?

Offline Mr.HP

  • Members
  • Posts: 2730
Re: A320 Release Date
« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2013, 02:51:32 PM »
All A/C launched date is based on real life, with 18 months plus/minus, so SD should be 18 months?

You can expect A320-100 to be launched between 1980-1983, they won't be delivered until 1986+, so it's safe to keep using DC-9 until then. In fact, IMO, you can fly DC-9 profitably till end 80s/early 90s

DC-9-30 consumes 1.4x fuel but carry only 0.66x pax as compare to A320-100. But if you're flying thin and short routes, they won't be much inferior than A320-100, except costly maintenance with aging fleet. The higher leasing cost of A320 might even > extra fuel and maintenance cost of DC-9. But if you're looking for competition with the big boys, they have enough cash to prepaid 100% in advance at least 100 units of A320-100
« Last Edit: December 08, 2013, 03:54:18 AM by Mr.HP »

splotch

  • Former member
Re: A320 Release Date
« Reply #2 on: December 07, 2013, 05:55:38 PM »
Thanks HP - that's useful to know. I think I'll go with the DC-9s - I don't like my growth being hampered by waiting lists. Better to fly more DC-9s for the next twelve years, then replace, then less A320s.

Offline knobbygb

  • Members
  • Posts: 605
Re: A320 Release Date
« Reply #3 on: December 09, 2013, 01:54:56 PM »
The dynamics are so much different in this long game format too.

By that, I mean that previously you'd have to just make this decision once - stay with what you have or update.  Now, even those buying the new A320 will have to repelace them again before the end of the game (even if it's with more of the same) - there's over 40 years left!  

So, I'd say that sticking with older models is more viable now.  You can always change later and still get your money's worth out of whatever you choose.

For example, I've totally skipped the 737-200Adv generation in this game and have now ordered -300s.  In the previous JA games that wasn't really practical as you'd only have the -300s for a few years and it was a waste of money.

HINT:  When the A320-200 is released many of the big players might have over committed on the -100 and so won't be able to get at the early -200 slots.  Or you could wait for the A319 (which would be a more direct replacement for the DC9) and have a similar benefit.

« Last Edit: December 09, 2013, 01:57:00 PM by [SC] knobbygb »

Offline Mr.HP

  • Members
  • Posts: 2730
Re: A320 Release Date
« Reply #4 on: December 09, 2013, 03:12:26 PM »

HINT:  When the A320-200 is released many of the big players might have over committed on the -100 and so won't be able to get at the early -200 slots.  Or you could wait for the A319 (which would be a more direct replacement for the DC9) and have a similar benefit.


It's a trade off. Airline who don't need the range -200 provide can easily make big order of -100, and get a lot of them in short time

The problem is, you won't find slots for A319-100 by the time it get launched, and big airlines hardly BK at that time, except boredom, and make slots available again

 

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