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Author Topic: To fly or not to fly  (Read 806 times)

Offline Marksw76

  • Members
  • Posts: 116
To fly or not to fly
« on: March 13, 2013, 07:17:49 PM »
Is it better to fly a route that may have a low yield/low demand or is it better not to fly and keep the plane parked?

I've got some spare capacity for a twilight flight but not sure whether to bother or keep my bird parked till the morning


Offline alexgv1

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  • Posts: 2184
Re: To fly or not to fly
« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2013, 07:36:58 PM »
These are fine when fuel is cheap. But these pointless flights are usually what cripple poorly run airlines (if not "real life commitments"  :laugh: )
CEO of South Where Airlines (SWA|WH)

exchlbg

  • Former member
Re: To fly or not to fly
« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2013, 09:18:24 PM »
What´s the start time, what´s the landing time, what´s the aircraft, what demand ? Please get a bit detailed to get proper information. There is no straight answer fitting all situations.

Offline alexgv1

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  • Posts: 2184
Re: To fly or not to fly
« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2013, 09:46:51 PM »
What´s the start time, what´s the landing time, what´s the aircraft, what demand ? Please get a bit detailed to get proper information. There is no straight answer fitting all situations.

I'm guessing a "twilight flight" would be in the late night/early morning period. Does that give you any insight?
CEO of South Where Airlines (SWA|WH)

exchlbg

  • Former member
Re: To fly or not to fly
« Reply #4 on: March 13, 2013, 11:15:17 PM »
Totally.Now I can honestly advise: it depends....
« Last Edit: March 13, 2013, 11:17:32 PM by exchlbg »

brique

  • Former member
Re: To fly or not to fly
« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2013, 11:40:35 PM »
exchlbg is correct : we dont know enough about the potential flight to say one way or another, there are too many variables and if we address them all, we'll be here all night writing: over-nights can contribute a decent amount to revenue on the basis that the aircraft, staff, MX, Insurance, etc are already largely paid for, (there can be a minor staff increase in some categories for the flight, especially if its a new destination, see, a variable). So, with your fixed costs paid, you only have to worry about the flight costs (fuel, fees, etc). So, you wont need as many pax paying as much to turn a profit on the flight itself. 'Low demand/low yield' is vague :sending a too large aircraft will probably fail as it may not cover its flight costs (variable), main component being fuel (variable): sending a smaller aircraft may generate positive revenue (variable) : but we dont know the aircraft size, or the actual demand... so... its kinda variable...

You can tweak prices (introduce a variable) to increase loads, but thats dependant on the actual demand/supply levels which are... an unknown variable...  and so on...

I run a number of red-eyes and always try to : but I generally like to send them into big demand routes : its an additional flight, the demand/supply ratio will work in my favour for loads, slots will be a lot cheaper and so on. They can be nice little earners but same as all your routes : keep an eye on them; massive fuel spikes, demand drops, new competition, etc can send them red very fast if they were near borderline already or you have priced them too finely.

 

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